MATCH ENDED
FULL TIME
2 - 1
Wales - Premier League
Feb 20, 2026
19:45
ENDED
OUR PREDICTION
CORRECT
Prediction Probabilities
50%
HOME
20%
DRAW
30%
AWAY
PREDICTION
Home Win
CORRECT SCORE
2-1
BTTS
Yes
GOALS
Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

Last 10 of 31 matches
27
The New Saints
1
Draws
3
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints 2 - 1 Caernarfon Town Feb 20, 2026 Feb 20, 2026
The New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon Town Nov 28, 2025 Nov 28, 2025
The New Saints 3 - 0 Caernarfon Town Nov 4, 2025 Nov 4, 2025
Caernarfon Town 1 - 3 The New Saints Oct 7, 2025 Oct 7, 2025
The New Saints 2 - 0 Caernarfon Town Mar 11, 2025 Mar 11, 2025
Caernarfon Town 0 - 1 The New Saints Feb 11, 2025 Feb 11, 2025
Caernarfon Town 2 - 5 The New Saints Dec 26, 2024 Dec 26, 2024
The New Saints 1 - 2 Caernarfon Town Oct 9, 2024 Oct 9, 2024
The New Saints 7 - 1 Caernarfon Town Apr 5, 2024 Apr 5, 2024
Caernarfon Town 1 - 8 The New Saints Feb 23, 2024 Feb 23, 2024

Team Form

Current Form (Last 5)
The New Saints
W L W W W
4W 0D 1L
Caernarfon Town
W L L D W
2W 1D 2L
The New Saints Last 10 Matches
W
GAP Connah S Quay FC 1-2 The New Saints
Premier League
Mar 3
L
The New Saints 0-2 Barry Town
League Cup
Feb 28
W
The New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon Town
Premier League
Feb 20
W
Colwyn Bay 0-2 The New Saints
Premier League
Feb 13
W
The New Saints 6-0 Penybont
Premier League
Feb 7
W
The New Saints 1-0 Barry Town
Premier League
Jan 24
W
The New Saints 1-0 Colwyn Bay
Premier League
Jan 13
W
The New Saints 2-1 Bala Town
Premier League
Jan 6
L
GAP Connah S Quay FC 3-1 The New Saints
Premier League
Dec 31
W
Briton Ferry 0-2 The New Saints
Premier League
Dec 9
Caernarfon Town Last 10 Matches
W
Caernarfon Town 3-0 Colwyn Bay
Premier League
Feb 27
L
The New Saints 2-1 Caernarfon Town
Premier League
Feb 20
L
Caernarfon Town 0-2 Barry Town
Premier League
Feb 14
D
GAP Connah S Quay FC 1-1 Caernarfon Town
Premier League
Feb 6
W
Caernarfon Town 4-1 Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cup
Jan 31
D
Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town
Premier League
Jan 24
D
Caernarfon Town 2-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
Premier League
Jan 13
W
Bala Town 0-1 Caernarfon Town
Premier League
Dec 31
L
Caernarfon Town 1-2 Colwyn Bay
Premier League
Dec 27
W
Cardiff MET 2-4 Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cup
Dec 13

League Standings

Wales - Premier League Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 The New Saints H 27 22 2 3 51 68
2 GAP Connah S Quay FC 27 14 8 5 21 50
3 Penybont 27 11 7 9 -4 40
4 Caernarfon Town A 27 10 9 8 12 39
5 Barry Town 27 10 9 8 10 39
6 Colwyn Bay 27 10 7 10 2 37

Overview

Quick Match Insights (Based on H2H: 31 matches)
48%
BTTS
71%
Over 2.5
81%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 3.5
Statistical Analysis

Our comprehensive expert analysis, powered by advanced statistical algorithms and historical data, predicts Home Win with a remarkable 50% confidence level.

The New Saints Performance Analysis
81%
Win Rate
7%
Draw Rate
11%
Loss Rate

The home team is in strong form with a 81% win rate across their last 27 fixtures, maintaining decent offensive output with 2.67 goals scored per match while displaying excellent defensive discipline by conceding 0.78 goals. They have kept 15 clean sheets (56%).

Caernarfon Town Performance Analysis
37%
Win Rate
33%
Draw Rate
30%
Loss Rate

The visiting team is in mixed form with a 37% win rate across their last 27 fixtures, maintaining decent offensive output with 1.81 goals scored per match while showing defensive vulnerabilities by conceding 1.37 goals. They have kept 5 clean sheets (19%).

Head-to-Head Summary
27
The New Saints Wins
1
Draws
3
Caernarfon Town Wins

The New Saints have historically dominated this fixture, winning 27 of the last 31 encounters.

Half-Time / Full-Time Analysis
The New Saints
1st Half Goals 29 (41%)
2nd Half Goals 41 (59%)
Caernarfon Town
1st Half Goals 16 (33%)
2nd Half Goals 33 (67%)
Based on season statistics
The New Saints Stats
Matches Played27
Wins / Draws / Losses22 / 2 / 3
Goals For / Against72 / 21
Avg Goals Scored2.67
Avg Goals Conceded0.78
Clean Sheets15
Failed to Score2
Yellow Cards5
Red Cards0
Penalties (Scored/Missed)4 / 0
Caernarfon Town Stats
Matches Played27
Wins / Draws / Losses10 / 9 / 8
Goals For / Against49 / 37
Avg Goals Scored1.81
Avg Goals Conceded1.37
Clean Sheets5
Failed to Score5
Yellow Cards4
Red Cards0
Penalties (Scored/Missed)5 / 0
Head-to-Head Comparison
81% Win Rate 37%
72 Goals Scored 49
21 Goals Conceded 37
15 Clean Sheets 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
Goals by Time Period
The New Saints
0-15'
11 / 1
16-30'
9 / 4
31-45'
9 / 4
46-60'
17 / 3
61-75'
10 / 3
76-90'
13 / 8
91-105'
1 / 0
Caernarfon Town
0-15'
3 / 8
16-30'
4 / 5
31-45'
9 / 7
46-60'
8 / 3
61-75'
12 / 3
76-90'
13 / 11
91-105'
0 / 0
Goals Scored | Goals Conceded
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