MATCH ENDED
FULL TIME
3 - 2
Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 15, 2026
17:00
ENDED
OUR PREDICTION
WRONG
Prediction Probabilities
26%
HOME
21%
DRAW
53%
AWAY
PREDICTION
Away Win
CORRECT SCORE
2-3
BTTS
Yes
GOALS
Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

Last 4 of 4 matches
3
Aretxabaleta
0
Draws
1
Leioa
Aretxabaleta 3 - 2 Leioa Feb 14, 2026 Feb 14, 2026
Leioa 2 - 4 Aretxabaleta Oct 5, 2025 Oct 5, 2025
Leioa 2 - 1 Aretxabaleta Feb 1, 2025 Feb 1, 2025
Aretxabaleta 2 - 1 Leioa Sep 22, 2024 Sep 22, 2024

Team Form

Current Form (Last 5)
Aretxabaleta
W L W L W
3W 0D 2L
Leioa
W W L W W
4W 0D 1L
Aretxabaleta Last 10 Matches
W
Aretxabaleta 3-1 Deportivo Alavés III
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Mar 1
L
Aurrerá Vitoria 5-1 Aretxabaleta
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 22
W
Aretxabaleta 3-2 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 14
L
Eibar III 4-2 Aretxabaleta
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 7
W
Aretxabaleta 6-3 Añorga
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 1
D
Durango 1-1 Aretxabaleta
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 24
W
Aretxabaleta 2-1 Zarautz
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 18
L
Zamudio 2-0 Aretxabaleta
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 11
D
Aretxabaleta 2-2 Santurtzi
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 4
L
Real Sociedad III 2-0 Aretxabaleta
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 20
Leioa Last 10 Matches
W
Añorga 0-1 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 28
W
Leioa 2-1 Durango
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 21
L
Aretxabaleta 3-2 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 14
W
Leioa 2-1 Zamudio
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 7
W
Santurtzi 1-2 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Feb 1
W
Leioa 2-1 Real Sociedad III
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 24
W
Pasaia KE 1-3 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 17
L
Lagun Onak 1-0 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 10
W
Leioa 3-2 Deusto
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 4
W
Portugalete 0-1 Leioa
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 20

League Standings

Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Portugalete 24 19 3 2 35 60
2 Leioa A 24 14 3 7 12 45
3 Lagun Onak 24 13 2 9 13 41
4 Touring 24 11 8 5 11 41
5 Aurrerá Vitoria 24 12 5 7 3 41
6 San Ignacio 24 11 5 8 6 38
7 Derio 24 11 4 9 8 37
8 Aretxabaleta H 24 10 5 9 1 35
9 Deportivo Alavés III 24 9 7 8 10 34
10 Real Sociedad III 24 10 3 11 -2 33
11 Durango 24 8 9 7 3 33
12 Santurtzi 24 6 9 9 -8 27
13 Eibar III 24 7 5 12 -10 26
14 Zamudio 24 7 5 13 -12 25
15 Pasaia KE 24 6 6 12 -14 24
16 Añorga 24 7 4 14 -20 24
17 Zarautz 24 6 4 15 -23 21
18 Deusto 24 4 6 14 -13 18

Overview

Quick Match Insights (Based on H2H: 4 matches)
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
100%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 3.5
Statistical Analysis

Our comprehensive expert analysis, powered by advanced statistical algorithms and historical data, predicts Away Win with a remarkable 53% confidence level.

Aretxabaleta Performance Analysis
42%
Win Rate
21%
Draw Rate
38%
Loss Rate

The home team is in mixed form with a 42% win rate across their last 24 fixtures, maintaining decent offensive output with 1.71 goals scored per match while showing defensive vulnerabilities by conceding 1.67 goals. They have kept 3 clean sheets (13%).

Leioa Performance Analysis
58%
Win Rate
13%
Draw Rate
29%
Loss Rate

The visiting team is in strong form with a 58% win rate across their last 24 fixtures, struggling offensively with 1.46 goals scored per match while displaying excellent defensive discipline by conceding 0.96 goals. They have kept 9 clean sheets (38%).

Head-to-Head Summary
3
Aretxabaleta Wins
0
Draws
1
Leioa Wins

Aretxabaleta have historically dominated this fixture, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters.

Half-Time / Full-Time Analysis
Aretxabaleta
1st Half Goals 18 (44%)
2nd Half Goals 23 (56%)
Leioa
1st Half Goals 18 (51%)
2nd Half Goals 17 (49%)
Based on season statistics
Aretxabaleta Stats
Matches Played24
Wins / Draws / Losses10 / 5 / 9
Goals For / Against41 / 40
Avg Goals Scored1.71
Avg Goals Conceded1.67
Clean Sheets3
Failed to Score7
Yellow Cards0
Red Cards0
Penalties (Scored/Missed)2 / 0
Leioa Stats
Matches Played24
Wins / Draws / Losses14 / 3 / 7
Goals For / Against35 / 23
Avg Goals Scored1.46
Avg Goals Conceded0.96
Clean Sheets9
Failed to Score7
Yellow Cards0
Red Cards0
Penalties (Scored/Missed)2 / 0
Head-to-Head Comparison
42% Win Rate 58%
41 Goals Scored 35
40 Goals Conceded 23
3 Clean Sheets 9
0 Yellow Cards 0
Goals by Time Period
Aretxabaleta
0-15'
4 / 5
16-30'
5 / 5
31-45'
9 / 8
46-60'
8 / 6
61-75'
5 / 7
76-90'
10 / 9
91-105'
0 / 0
Leioa
0-15'
5 / 1
16-30'
5 / 2
31-45'
8 / 5
46-60'
2 / 4
61-75'
7 / 3
76-90'
8 / 8
91-105'
0 / 0
Goals Scored | Goals Conceded
RATE THIS PREDICTION
Related Predictions
Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Santurtzi
Home Win Mar 7
53%
confidence
Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Zarautz vs Lagun Onak
Away Win Mar 7
48%
confidence
Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
Aurrerá Vitoria vs Añorga
Home Win Mar 7
48%
confidence