Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Zimbru

VS

Politehnica UTM

4.91

Expected Goals (Home)

1.46

Expected Goals (Away)

How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.

Most Likely Scores

TOP PICK

4-1

6.1%

Home Win

5-1

5.9%

Home Win

3-1

4.9%

Home Win

4-2

4.4%

Home Win

5-2

4.3%

Home Win

4-0

4.1%

Home Win

5-0

4.1%

Home Win

3-2

3.6%

Home Win

3-0

3.4%

Home Win

2-1

3.0%

Home Win

2-2

2.2%

Draw

4-3

2.2%

Home Win

Home Win Scores

4-1

6.1%

5-1

5.9%

3-1

4.9%

4-2

4.4%

5-2

4.3%

4-0

4.1%

5-0

4.1%

3-2

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

2-1

3.0%

4-3

2.2%

5-3

2.1%

Draw Scores

2-2

2.2%

3-3

1.8%

1-1

1.2%

4-4

0.8%

5-5

0.2%

0-0

0.2%

Away Win Scores

2-3

1.1%

1-2

0.9%

3-4

0.6%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.4%

0-1

0.2%

4-5

0.2%

3-5

0.2%

0-2

0.2%

1-4

0.2%

2-5

0.1%

0-3

0.1%

Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 5 Matches)

2-3 1x

0-0 1x

7-0 1x

4-2 1x

5-0 1x

Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 5 matches)

Zimbru

H2H Matches 5

Goals Scored 19

Goals Conceded 4

Avg Goals/Game 3.80

Avg Conceded/Game 0.80

Politehnica UTM

H2H Matches 5

Goals Scored 4

Goals Conceded 19

Avg Goals/Game 0.80

Avg Conceded/Game 3.80