Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Western Sydney Wanderers W
VS
Brisbane Roar FC W
0.95
Expected Goals (Home)
1.74
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-1
11.9%
Away Win
1-1
11.2%
Draw
0-2
10.3%
Away Win
1-2
9.8%
Away Win
0-0
6.8%
Draw
1-0
6.4%
Home Win
0-3
6.0%
Away Win
1-3
5.7%
Away Win
2-1
5.3%
Home Win
2-2
4.6%
Draw
2-0
3.0%
Home Win
2-3
2.7%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
3.0%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
1.5%
3-0
1.0%
4-1
0.4%
4-2
0.3%
4-0
0.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
Draw Scores
1-1
11.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 19 Matches)
0-1 4x
0-4 2x
3-1 2x
1-3 2x
1-1 2x
0-2 1x
1-2 1x
2-1 1x
3-0 1x
0-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 19 matches)