Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Watford U21

Watford U21

VS
AFC Bournemouth U21

AFC Bournemouth U21

1.54
Expected Goals (Home)
2.09
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-2
8.9%
Away Win
1-1
8.5%
Draw
2-2
6.9%
Draw
2-1
6.6%
Home Win
1-3
6.2%
Away Win
0-2
5.8%
Away Win
0-1
5.6%
Away Win
2-3
4.8%
Away Win
1-0
4.1%
Home Win
0-3
4.0%
Away Win
3-2
3.5%
Home Win
3-1
3.4%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
2-1
6.6%
1-0
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-2
1.3%
4-1
1.3%
4-3
0.9%
4-0
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
Draw Scores
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
0-0
2.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
Away Win Scores
1-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
4.8%
0-3
4.0%
1-4
3.3%
2-4
2.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
3-4
1.3%
2-5
1.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 6 Matches)
2-2 2x
2-1 1x
4-1 1x
1-0 1x
1-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 6 matches)
Watford U21
H2H Matches 6
Goals Scored 7
Goals Conceded 12
Avg Goals/Game 1.17
Avg Conceded/Game 2.00
AFC Bournemouth U21
H2H Matches 6
Goals Scored 12
Goals Conceded 7
Avg Goals/Game 2.00
Avg Conceded/Game 1.17