Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Vasco DA Gama
VS
CFRJ / Maricá
0.45
Expected Goals (Home)
1.00
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
23.5%
Draw
0-1
23.5%
Away Win
0-2
11.7%
Away Win
1-0
10.6%
Home Win
1-1
10.6%
Draw
1-2
5.3%
Away Win
0-3
3.9%
Away Win
2-0
2.4%
Home Win
2-1
2.4%
Home Win
1-3
1.8%
Away Win
2-2
1.2%
Draw
0-4
1.0%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
10.6%
2-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-0
0.0%
4-1
0.0%
4-2
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
23.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
23.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
0-4
1.0%
1-4
0.4%
2-3
0.4%
0-5
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Vasco DA Gama
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
9
Goals Conceded
20
Avg Goals/Game
0.90
Avg Conceded/Game
2.00
CFRJ / Maricá
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00