Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Tusker
VS
Bandari Mtwara
0.40
Expected Goals (Home)
0.45
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
42.7%
Draw
0-1
19.2%
Away Win
1-0
17.1%
Home Win
1-1
7.7%
Draw
0-2
4.3%
Away Win
2-0
3.4%
Home Win
1-2
1.7%
Away Win
2-1
1.5%
Home Win
0-3
0.6%
Away Win
3-0
0.5%
Home Win
2-2
0.3%
Draw
1-3
0.3%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
17.1%
2-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.0%
4-0
0.0%
4-1
0.0%
4-2
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
42.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
19.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-2
1.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
0-4
0.1%
2-3
0.1%
1-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
2-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Tusker
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
8
Goals Conceded
9
Avg Goals/Game
0.80
Avg Conceded/Game
0.90
Bandari Mtwara
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00