Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Tokyo Verdy
VS
Oita Trinita
1.35
Expected Goals (Home)
1.12
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
12.8%
Draw
1-0
11.4%
Home Win
0-1
9.5%
Away Win
2-1
8.6%
Home Win
0-0
8.5%
Draw
2-0
7.7%
Home Win
1-2
7.2%
Away Win
0-2
5.3%
Away Win
2-2
4.8%
Draw
3-1
3.9%
Home Win
3-0
3.4%
Home Win
1-3
2.7%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
4-0
1.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
5-0
0.3%
4-3
0.3%
Draw Scores
1-1
12.8%
0-0
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.0%
2-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
0-4
0.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
0-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 15 Matches)
1-0 4x
0-0 2x
1-2 1x
1-1 1x
3-1 1x
0-4 1x
0-2 1x
0-1 1x
3-2 1x
2-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 15 matches)