Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Tigres FC
VS
Real Cartagena
0.65
Expected Goals (Home)
1.30
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-1
18.5%
Away Win
0-0
14.2%
Draw
1-1
12.0%
Draw
0-2
12.0%
Away Win
1-0
9.3%
Home Win
1-2
7.8%
Away Win
0-3
5.2%
Away Win
2-1
3.9%
Home Win
1-3
3.4%
Away Win
2-0
3.0%
Home Win
2-2
2.5%
Draw
0-4
1.7%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
9.3%
2-1
3.9%
2-0
3.0%
3-1
0.9%
3-0
0.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
18.5%
0-2
12.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-4
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
0-5
0.4%
2-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 25 Matches)
0-0 8x
0-1 3x
1-1 3x
2-1 2x
1-2 2x
2-0 1x
1-0 1x
3-1 1x
3-0 1x
4-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 25 matches)
Tigres FC
H2H Matches
25
Goals Scored
14
Goals Conceded
29
Avg Goals/Game
0.56
Avg Conceded/Game
1.16
Real Cartagena
H2H Matches
25
Goals Scored
29
Goals Conceded
14
Avg Goals/Game
1.16
Avg Conceded/Game
0.56