Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Spartak Varna
VS
Montana
1.06
Expected Goals (Home)
0.53
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
21.7%
Home Win
0-0
20.4%
Draw
2-0
11.5%
Home Win
1-1
11.4%
Draw
0-1
10.7%
Away Win
2-1
6.1%
Home Win
3-0
4.1%
Home Win
1-2
3.0%
Away Win
0-2
2.8%
Away Win
3-1
2.1%
Home Win
2-2
1.6%
Draw
4-0
1.1%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
21.7%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
3-2
0.6%
5-0
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
20.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
10.7%
1-2
3.0%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.5%
0-3
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
0-4
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 8 Matches)
1-0 3x
1-1 2x
0-0 1x
1-2 1x
2-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 8 matches)
Spartak Varna
H2H Matches
8
Goals Scored
9
Goals Conceded
4
Avg Goals/Game
1.13
Avg Conceded/Game
0.50
Montana
H2H Matches
8
Goals Scored
4
Goals Conceded
9
Avg Goals/Game
0.50
Avg Conceded/Game
1.13