Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Sheger Ketema
VS
Fasil Ketema
0.57
Expected Goals (Home)
0.87
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
23.9%
Draw
0-1
20.7%
Away Win
1-0
13.5%
Home Win
1-1
11.7%
Draw
0-2
9.0%
Away Win
1-2
5.1%
Away Win
2-0
3.8%
Home Win
2-1
3.3%
Home Win
0-3
2.6%
Away Win
1-3
1.5%
Away Win
2-2
1.4%
Draw
3-0
0.7%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
13.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
23.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
20.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
5.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
0-4
0.6%
2-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 1 Matches)
0-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 1 matches)