Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Sesvete

Sesvete

VS
Dubrava Zagreb

Dubrava Zagreb

1.26
Expected Goals (Home)
1.02
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
13.2%
Draw
1-0
12.8%
Home Win
0-1
10.5%
Away Win
0-0
10.2%
Draw
2-1
8.3%
Home Win
2-0
8.1%
Home Win
1-2
6.7%
Away Win
0-2
5.4%
Away Win
2-2
4.2%
Draw
3-1
3.5%
Home Win
3-0
3.4%
Home Win
1-3
2.3%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
4-0
1.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
5-0
0.3%
4-3
0.2%
Draw Scores
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
0-3
1.8%
2-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
0-4
0.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
0-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 18 Matches)
0-0 4x
0-2 3x
2-1 2x
3-2 1x
0-4 1x
1-2 1x
3-5 1x
0-1 1x
1-1 1x
3-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 18 matches)
Sesvete
H2H Matches 18
Goals Scored 25
Goals Conceded 19
Avg Goals/Game 1.39
Avg Conceded/Game 1.06
Dubrava Zagreb
H2H Matches 18
Goals Scored 19
Goals Conceded 25
Avg Goals/Game 1.06
Avg Conceded/Game 1.39