Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Sao Paulo
VS
São Bernardo
0.60
Expected Goals (Home)
0.85
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
23.5%
Draw
0-1
19.9%
Away Win
1-0
14.1%
Home Win
1-1
12.0%
Draw
0-2
8.5%
Away Win
1-2
5.1%
Away Win
2-0
4.2%
Home Win
2-1
3.6%
Home Win
0-3
2.4%
Away Win
2-2
1.5%
Draw
1-3
1.4%
Away Win
3-0
0.8%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
14.1%
2-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
23.5%
1-1
12.0%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
19.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
0-4
0.5%
2-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
0-5
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Sao Paulo
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
12
Goals Conceded
17
Avg Goals/Game
1.20
Avg Conceded/Game
1.70
São Bernardo
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00