Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Sagaing United

Sagaing United

VS
Dagon

Dagon

1.33
Expected Goals (Home)
1.88
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
10.1%
Draw
1-2
9.5%
Away Win
0-1
7.6%
Away Win
0-2
7.2%
Away Win
2-1
6.7%
Home Win
2-2
6.3%
Draw
1-3
6.0%
Away Win
1-0
5.4%
Home Win
0-3
4.5%
Away Win
0-0
4.0%
Draw
2-3
4.0%
Away Win
2-0
3.6%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
2-1
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
2.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.0%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.6%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.2%
Draw Scores
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
4.0%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
1-4
2.8%
0-4
2.1%
2-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
3-4
0.8%
0-5
0.8%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 8 Matches)
5-3 1x
4-0 1x
0-1 1x
2-2 1x
1-0 1x
3-0 1x
0-0 1x
0-3 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 8 matches)
Sagaing United
H2H Matches 8
Goals Scored 9
Goals Conceded 15
Avg Goals/Game 1.13
Avg Conceded/Game 1.88
Dagon
H2H Matches 8
Goals Scored 15
Goals Conceded 9
Avg Goals/Game 1.88
Avg Conceded/Game 1.13