Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Qarabag

VS

Keshla FC

1.93

Expected Goals (Home)

0.74

Expected Goals (Away)

How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.

Most Likely Scores

TOP PICK

1-0

13.4%

Home Win

2-0

12.9%

Home Win

1-1

9.9%

Draw

2-1

9.5%

Home Win

3-0

8.3%

Home Win

0-0

6.9%

Draw

3-1

6.1%

Home Win

0-1

5.1%

Away Win

4-0

4.0%

Home Win

1-2

3.7%

Away Win

2-2

3.5%

Draw

4-1

3.0%

Home Win

Home Win Scores

1-0

13.4%

2-0

12.9%

2-1

9.5%

3-0

8.3%

3-1

6.1%

4-0

4.0%

4-1

3.0%

3-2

2.3%

5-0

1.5%

5-1

1.1%

4-2

1.1%

5-2

0.4%

Draw Scores

1-1

9.9%

0-0

6.9%

2-2

3.5%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

0.0%

Away Win Scores

0-1

5.1%

1-2

3.7%

0-2

1.9%

1-3

0.9%

2-3

0.9%

0-3

0.5%

1-4

0.2%

2-4

0.2%

3-4

0.1%

0-4

0.1%

1-5

0.0%

2-5

0.0%

Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 39 Matches)

0-0 6x

1-1 5x

0-1 5x

1-0 5x

3-0 3x

0-2 2x

1-3 1x

0-6 1x

0-4 1x

1-2 1x

Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 39 matches)

Qarabag

H2H Matches 39

Goals Scored 74

Goals Conceded 19

Avg Goals/Game 1.90

Avg Conceded/Game 0.49

Keshla FC

H2H Matches 39

Goals Scored 19

Goals Conceded 74

Avg Goals/Game 0.49

Avg Conceded/Game 1.90