Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
PSPS
VS
Persekat
1.36
Expected Goals (Home)
0.57
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
19.8%
Home Win
0-0
14.6%
Draw
2-0
13.4%
Home Win
1-1
11.3%
Draw
0-1
8.3%
Away Win
2-1
7.6%
Home Win
3-0
6.0%
Home Win
3-1
3.4%
Home Win
1-2
3.2%
Away Win
0-2
2.4%
Away Win
2-2
2.2%
Draw
4-0
2.0%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
19.8%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
4-1
1.2%
3-2
1.0%
5-0
0.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
Draw Scores
0-0
14.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.6%
0-3
0.5%
2-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
0-4
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 4 Matches)
0-0 2x
2-0 1x
2-3 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 4 matches)