Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Perth Glory
VS
Brisbane Roar
1.45
Expected Goals (Home)
1.40
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
11.7%
Draw
2-1
8.5%
Home Win
1-0
8.4%
Home Win
1-2
8.2%
Away Win
0-1
8.1%
Away Win
2-0
6.1%
Home Win
2-2
6.0%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
Draw
0-2
5.6%
Away Win
3-1
4.1%
Home Win
1-3
3.8%
Away Win
3-0
3.0%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
4-0
1.1%
4-2
1.0%
4-3
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
5-0
0.3%
Draw Scores
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
1-2
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-4
1.0%
0-4
0.9%
3-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-5
0.3%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 42 Matches)
2-1 8x
1-0 4x
3-1 3x
1-1 3x
3-2 3x
0-0 3x
0-1 3x
2-2 2x
4-0 2x
1-2 2x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 42 matches)
Perth Glory
H2H Matches
42
Goals Scored
65
Goals Conceded
67
Avg Goals/Game
1.55
Avg Conceded/Game
1.60
Brisbane Roar
H2H Matches
42
Goals Scored
67
Goals Conceded
65
Avg Goals/Game
1.60
Avg Conceded/Game
1.55