Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Okinawa SV
VS
Kyoto Sanga
2.00
Expected Goals (Home)
4.25
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-4
5.2%
Away Win
2-4
5.2%
Away Win
1-3
4.9%
Away Win
2-3
4.9%
Away Win
1-5
4.5%
Away Win
2-5
4.5%
Away Win
3-4
3.5%
Away Win
1-2
3.5%
Away Win
2-2
3.5%
Draw
3-3
3.3%
Draw
3-5
3.0%
Away Win
0-4
2.6%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
3-2
2.3%
4-3
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
4-2
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
5-4
0.7%
5-3
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.5%
1-0
0.4%
2-0
0.4%
3-0
0.3%
Draw Scores
2-2
3.5%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
1.7%
1-1
1.6%
5-5
0.6%
0-0
0.2%
Away Win Scores
1-4
5.2%
2-4
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-3
4.9%
1-5
4.5%
2-5
4.5%
3-4
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
3-5
3.0%
0-4
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
0-5
2.2%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 2 Matches)
0-0 2x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 2 matches)