Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Nakhon Si Thammarat
VS
Esan Pattaya
1.02
Expected Goals (Home)
0.93
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
14.5%
Home Win
0-0
14.3%
Draw
1-1
13.5%
Draw
0-1
13.3%
Away Win
2-0
7.4%
Home Win
2-1
6.9%
Home Win
1-2
6.3%
Away Win
0-2
6.2%
Away Win
2-2
3.2%
Draw
3-0
2.5%
Home Win
3-1
2.3%
Home Win
1-3
1.9%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
14.5%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-0
0.6%
4-1
0.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
4-3
0.1%
Draw Scores
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
13.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
2-3
1.0%
1-4
0.5%
0-4
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
0-5
0.1%
3-4
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 6 Matches)
1-1 1x
3-2 1x
1-0 1x
0-0 1x
0-1 1x
2-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 6 matches)