Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Mohammedan Dhaka
VS
Arambagh
1.23
Expected Goals (Home)
0.85
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
15.4%
Home Win
1-1
13.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
Draw
0-1
10.6%
Away Win
2-0
9.5%
Home Win
2-1
8.0%
Home Win
1-2
5.5%
Away Win
0-2
4.5%
Away Win
3-0
3.9%
Home Win
2-2
3.4%
Draw
3-1
3.3%
Home Win
1-3
1.6%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
15.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-0
1.2%
4-1
1.0%
4-2
0.4%
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
4-3
0.1%
Draw Scores
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
0-3
1.3%
2-3
1.0%
1-4
0.3%
0-4
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 13 Matches)
0-0 4x
2-2 2x
1-0 1x
2-1 1x
1-1 1x
4-1 1x
1-3 1x
0-1 1x
0-3 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 13 matches)
Mohammedan Dhaka
H2H Matches
13
Goals Scored
16
Goals Conceded
11
Avg Goals/Game
1.23
Avg Conceded/Game
0.85
Arambagh
H2H Matches
13
Goals Scored
11
Goals Conceded
16
Avg Goals/Game
0.85
Avg Conceded/Game
1.23