Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Melbourne City W
VS
Newcastle Jets FC W
2.35
Expected Goals (Home)
0.79
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
2-0
11.9%
Home Win
1-0
10.1%
Home Win
2-1
9.4%
Home Win
3-0
9.3%
Home Win
1-1
8.0%
Draw
3-1
7.4%
Home Win
4-0
5.5%
Home Win
4-1
4.4%
Home Win
0-0
4.3%
Draw
2-2
3.8%
Draw
0-1
3.4%
Away Win
1-2
3.2%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
2.9%
5-0
2.6%
5-1
2.0%
4-2
1.7%
5-2
0.8%
Draw Scores
1-1
8.0%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
0-2
1.4%
2-3
1.0%
1-3
0.8%
0-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
3-4
0.2%
0-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 20 Matches)
2-0 3x
0-3 2x
1-3 2x
0-2 2x
1-0 2x
1-1 1x
0-4 1x
2-3 1x
0-0 1x
5-2 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 20 matches)
Melbourne City W
H2H Matches
20
Goals Scored
51
Goals Conceded
11
Avg Goals/Game
2.55
Avg Conceded/Game
0.55
Newcastle Jets FC W
H2H Matches
20
Goals Scored
11
Goals Conceded
51
Avg Goals/Game
0.55
Avg Conceded/Game
2.55