Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Melbourne City FC
VS
Auckland
0.70
Expected Goals (Home)
0.95
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
19.2%
Draw
0-1
18.2%
Away Win
1-0
13.4%
Home Win
1-1
12.8%
Draw
0-2
8.7%
Away Win
1-2
6.1%
Away Win
2-0
4.7%
Home Win
2-1
4.5%
Home Win
0-3
2.7%
Away Win
2-2
2.1%
Draw
1-3
1.9%
Away Win
3-0
1.1%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
13.4%
2-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-0
1.1%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
0.5%
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
19.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
18.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
0-5
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Melbourne City FC
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00
Auckland
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
19
Goals Conceded
14
Avg Goals/Game
1.90
Avg Conceded/Game
1.40