Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Manta FC
VS
Independiente del Valle
1.03
Expected Goals (Home)
1.20
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
13.3%
Draw
0-1
13.0%
Away Win
1-0
11.0%
Home Win
0-0
10.8%
Draw
1-2
8.0%
Away Win
0-2
7.8%
Away Win
2-1
6.8%
Home Win
2-0
5.7%
Home Win
2-2
4.1%
Draw
1-3
3.2%
Away Win
0-3
3.1%
Away Win
3-1
2.3%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
11.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
3-0
1.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
4-0
0.5%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
Draw Scores
1-1
13.3%
0-0
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
13.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
1-4
1.0%
0-4
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
0-5
0.2%
3-4
0.2%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 12 Matches)
3-0 2x
0-2 2x
0-0 2x
1-0 1x
1-1 1x
2-0 1x
0-1 1x
3-1 1x
2-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 12 matches)
Manta FC
H2H Matches
12
Goals Scored
11
Goals Conceded
12
Avg Goals/Game
0.92
Avg Conceded/Game
1.00
Independiente del Valle
H2H Matches
12
Goals Scored
12
Goals Conceded
11
Avg Goals/Game
1.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.92