Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Madureira
VS
Flamengo
0.58
Expected Goals (Home)
2.70
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-2
13.7%
Away Win
0-3
12.3%
Away Win
0-1
10.1%
Away Win
0-4
8.3%
Away Win
1-2
8.0%
Away Win
1-3
7.2%
Away Win
1-1
5.9%
Draw
1-4
4.8%
Away Win
0-5
4.5%
Away Win
0-0
3.8%
Draw
1-5
2.6%
Away Win
2-2
2.3%
Draw
Home Win Scores
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
2-0
0.6%
3-2
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
3-0
0.1%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.1%
4-1
0.0%
4-0
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
Draw Scores
1-1
5.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-2
13.7%
0-3
12.3%
0-1
10.1%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.2%
1-4
4.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-5
2.6%
2-3
2.1%
2-4
1.4%
2-5
0.8%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 8 Matches)
3-0 2x
2-0 1x
1-5 1x
1-2 1x
0-0 1x
1-1 1x
0-8 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 8 matches)
Madureira
H2H Matches
8
Goals Scored
3
Goals Conceded
24
Avg Goals/Game
0.38
Avg Conceded/Game
3.00
Flamengo
H2H Matches
8
Goals Scored
24
Goals Conceded
3
Avg Goals/Game
3.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.38