Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Maccabi Yavne
VS
Maccabi Ashdod
1.46
Expected Goals (Home)
1.03
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
12.5%
Draw
1-0
12.1%
Home Win
2-1
9.1%
Home Win
2-0
8.8%
Home Win
0-1
8.5%
Away Win
0-0
8.3%
Draw
1-2
6.4%
Away Win
2-2
4.7%
Draw
3-1
4.4%
Home Win
0-2
4.4%
Away Win
3-0
4.3%
Home Win
3-2
2.3%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
4-0
1.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
5-0
0.5%
4-3
0.3%
Draw Scores
1-1
12.5%
0-0
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-3
1.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-4
0.4%
0-4
0.4%
3-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 13 Matches)
0-1 4x
0-0 2x
0-2 1x
2-1 1x
1-1 1x
2-4 1x
3-0 1x
1-0 1x
5-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 13 matches)