Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
VS
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.31
Expected Goals (Home)
0.95
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
13.7%
Home Win
1-1
13.0%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
Draw
0-1
9.9%
Away Win
2-0
9.0%
Home Win
2-1
8.5%
Home Win
1-2
6.2%
Away Win
0-2
4.7%
Away Win
2-2
4.0%
Draw
3-0
3.9%
Home Win
3-1
3.7%
Home Win
1-3
2.0%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
13.7%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
4-3
0.2%
Draw Scores
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.0%
0-3
1.5%
2-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
0-4
0.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
0-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 14 Matches)
2-0 2x
1-0 2x
0-0 2x
1-1 2x
0-5 1x
2-2 1x
1-3 1x
0-1 1x
0-2 1x
3-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 14 matches)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
H2H Matches
14
Goals Scored
19
Goals Conceded
10
Avg Goals/Game
1.36
Avg Conceded/Game
0.71
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
H2H Matches
14
Goals Scored
10
Goals Conceded
19
Avg Goals/Game
0.71
Avg Conceded/Game
1.36