Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Leeds United U18

VS

Manchester City U18

1.31

Expected Goals (Home)

3.85

Expected Goals (Away)

How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.

Most Likely Scores

TOP PICK

1-3

7.2%

Away Win

1-4

6.9%

Away Win

1-2

5.6%

Away Win

0-3

5.5%

Away Win

1-5

5.3%

Away Win

0-4

5.3%

Away Win

2-3

4.7%

Away Win

2-4

4.5%

Away Win

0-2

4.3%

Away Win

0-5

4.1%

Away Win

2-2

3.6%

Draw

2-5

3.5%

Away Win

Home Win Scores

2-1

1.9%

3-2

1.6%

3-1

0.8%

1-0

0.8%

4-3

0.7%

4-2

0.5%

2-0

0.5%

4-1

0.3%

3-0

0.2%

5-3

0.2%

5-4

0.2%

5-2

0.1%

Draw Scores

2-2

3.6%

1-1

2.9%

3-3

2.0%

4-4

0.6%

0-0

0.6%

5-5

0.1%

Away Win Scores

1-3

7.2%

1-4

6.9%

1-2

5.6%

0-3

5.5%

1-5

5.3%

0-4

5.3%

2-3

4.7%

2-4

4.5%

0-2

4.3%

0-5

4.1%

2-5

3.5%

0-1

2.2%

Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 14 Matches)

0-2 1x

3-8 1x

0-3 1x

1-4 1x

0-0 1x

1-6 1x

1-1 1x

5-1 1x

3-3 1x

6-2 1x

Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 14 matches)

Leeds United U18

H2H Matches 14

Goals Scored 16

Goals Conceded 55

Avg Goals/Game 1.14

Avg Conceded/Game 3.93

Manchester City U18

H2H Matches 14

Goals Scored 55

Goals Conceded 16

Avg Goals/Game 3.93

Avg Conceded/Game 1.14