Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
LD Alajuelense
VS
Municipal Liberia
1.98
Expected Goals (Home)
0.88
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
11.4%
Home Win
2-0
11.3%
Home Win
1-1
10.0%
Draw
2-1
9.9%
Home Win
3-0
7.4%
Home Win
3-1
6.5%
Home Win
0-0
5.7%
Draw
0-1
5.0%
Away Win
1-2
4.4%
Away Win
2-2
4.3%
Draw
4-0
3.7%
Home Win
4-1
3.2%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
3-2
2.9%
5-0
1.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-1
1.3%
5-2
0.6%
Draw Scores
1-1
10.0%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-3
1.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-4
0.2%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 23 Matches)
1-3 2x
1-0 2x
3-3 2x
0-0 2x
1-1 2x
3-0 2x
2-2 2x
2-0 2x
0-2 1x
0-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 23 matches)
LD Alajuelense
H2H Matches
23
Goals Scored
48
Goals Conceded
18
Avg Goals/Game
2.09
Avg Conceded/Game
0.78
Municipal Liberia
H2H Matches
23
Goals Scored
18
Goals Conceded
48
Avg Goals/Game
0.78
Avg Conceded/Game
2.09