Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Lazio U20
VS
Sassuolo U20
0.80
Expected Goals (Home)
1.25
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-1
16.2%
Away Win
0-0
12.9%
Draw
1-1
12.8%
Draw
1-0
10.2%
Home Win
0-2
10.1%
Away Win
1-2
8.1%
Away Win
2-1
5.1%
Home Win
0-3
4.2%
Away Win
2-0
4.1%
Home Win
1-3
3.4%
Away Win
2-2
3.2%
Draw
3-1
1.4%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
3-0
1.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
4-0
0.2%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-1
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
16.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 4 Matches)
1-1 2x
2-1 1x
0-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 4 matches)