Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Kedus Giorgis
VS
Negelle Arsi
0.70
Expected Goals (Home)
0.90
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
20.1%
Draw
0-1
18.2%
Away Win
1-0
14.1%
Home Win
1-1
12.7%
Draw
0-2
8.2%
Away Win
1-2
5.8%
Away Win
2-0
4.9%
Home Win
2-1
4.4%
Home Win
0-3
2.5%
Away Win
2-2
2.0%
Draw
1-3
1.7%
Away Win
3-0
1.1%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
14.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-0
1.1%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
0.5%
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
20.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.0%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
18.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
0-5
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 2 Matches)
0-1 1x
0-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 2 matches)
Kedus Giorgis
H2H Matches
21
Goals Scored
16
Goals Conceded
17
Avg Goals/Game
0.76
Avg Conceded/Game
0.81
Negelle Arsi
H2H Matches
22
Goals Scored
22
Goals Conceded
14
Avg Goals/Game
1.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.64