Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Independ. Rivadavia
VS
River Plate
0.70
Expected Goals (Home)
0.40
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
33.3%
Draw
1-0
23.3%
Home Win
0-1
13.3%
Away Win
1-1
9.3%
Draw
2-0
8.2%
Home Win
2-1
3.3%
Home Win
0-2
2.7%
Away Win
3-0
1.9%
Home Win
1-2
1.9%
Away Win
3-1
0.8%
Home Win
2-2
0.7%
Draw
0-3
0.4%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
23.3%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-0
0.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-0
0.0%
4-2
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
33.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-3
0.1%
0-4
0.0%
1-4
0.0%
2-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Independ. Rivadavia
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00
River Plate
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
8
Goals Conceded
14
Avg Goals/Game
0.80
Avg Conceded/Game
1.40