Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Galvez
VS
São Francisco
0.94
Expected Goals (Home)
0.75
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
18.5%
Draw
1-0
17.3%
Home Win
0-1
13.9%
Away Win
1-1
13.0%
Draw
2-0
8.1%
Home Win
2-1
6.1%
Home Win
0-2
5.2%
Away Win
1-2
4.9%
Away Win
3-0
2.5%
Home Win
2-2
2.3%
Draw
3-1
1.9%
Home Win
0-3
1.3%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
17.3%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
18.5%
1-1
13.0%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
13.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Galvez
Matches Played
8
Goals Scored
15
Goals Conceded
12
Avg Goals/Game
1.88
Avg Conceded/Game
1.50
São Francisco
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00