Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

FC Fredericia

FC Fredericia

VS
Aarhus Fremad

Aarhus Fremad

1.96
Expected Goals (Home)
1.58
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
9.0%
Draw
2-1
8.8%
Home Win
1-2
7.1%
Away Win
2-2
7.0%
Draw
3-1
5.8%
Home Win
1-0
5.7%
Home Win
2-0
5.6%
Home Win
0-1
4.6%
Away Win
3-2
4.5%
Home Win
1-3
3.7%
Away Win
2-3
3.7%
Away Win
3-0
3.6%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
2-1
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
4-2
2.2%
4-0
1.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-1
1.1%
5-2
0.9%
Draw Scores
1-1
9.0%
2-2
7.0%
0-0
2.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
Away Win Scores
1-2
7.1%
0-1
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-4
0.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-5
0.5%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 4 Matches)
2-1 3x
4-4 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 4 matches)
FC Fredericia
H2H Matches 4
Goals Scored 9
Goals Conceded 8
Avg Goals/Game 2.25
Avg Conceded/Game 2.00
Aarhus Fremad
H2H Matches 4
Goals Scored 8
Goals Conceded 9
Avg Goals/Game 2.00
Avg Conceded/Game 2.25
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