Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
VS
Mekelakeya
0.63
Expected Goals (Home)
1.29
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-1
18.8%
Away Win
0-0
14.6%
Draw
0-2
12.2%
Away Win
1-1
11.9%
Draw
1-0
9.2%
Home Win
1-2
7.7%
Away Win
0-3
5.2%
Away Win
2-1
3.8%
Home Win
1-3
3.3%
Away Win
2-0
2.9%
Home Win
2-2
2.4%
Draw
0-4
1.7%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
9.2%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.8%
3-0
0.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
14.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
18.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-3
1.1%
0-5
0.4%
2-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 10 Matches)
0-0 3x
3-1 2x
1-1 2x
0-2 2x
1-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 10 matches)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
H2H Matches
10
Goals Scored
4
Goals Conceded
13
Avg Goals/Game
0.40
Avg Conceded/Game
1.30
Mekelakeya
H2H Matches
10
Goals Scored
13
Goals Conceded
4
Avg Goals/Game
1.30
Avg Conceded/Game
0.40