Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
El Seka El Hadid
VS
Raya Ghazl
1.14
Expected Goals (Home)
0.67
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-0
18.6%
Home Win
0-0
16.4%
Draw
1-1
12.5%
Draw
0-1
11.0%
Away Win
2-0
10.6%
Home Win
2-1
7.1%
Home Win
1-2
4.2%
Away Win
3-0
4.0%
Home Win
0-2
3.7%
Away Win
3-1
2.7%
Home Win
2-2
2.4%
Draw
4-0
1.1%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
18.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
4-0
1.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-0
0.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
Draw Scores
0-0
16.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
11.0%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
0.9%
0-3
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
0-4
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 6 Matches)
0-2 2x
2-2 1x
0-0 1x
2-1 1x
1-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 6 matches)