Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Dagon
VS
Hantharwady United
0.80
Expected Goals (Home)
0.75
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
21.2%
Draw
1-0
17.0%
Home Win
0-1
15.9%
Away Win
1-1
12.7%
Draw
2-0
6.8%
Home Win
0-2
6.0%
Away Win
2-1
5.1%
Home Win
1-2
4.8%
Away Win
2-2
1.9%
Draw
3-0
1.8%
Home Win
0-3
1.5%
Away Win
3-1
1.4%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
17.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
21.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
15.9%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
4.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Dagon
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
16
Goals Conceded
15
Avg Goals/Game
1.60
Avg Conceded/Game
1.50
Hantharwady United
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00