Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Celaya
VS
Chapulineros
1.66
Expected Goals (Home)
1.10
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
11.6%
Draw
1-0
10.5%
Home Win
2-1
9.6%
Home Win
2-0
8.7%
Home Win
0-1
7.0%
Away Win
1-2
6.4%
Away Win
0-0
6.3%
Draw
3-1
5.3%
Home Win
2-2
5.3%
Draw
3-0
4.8%
Home Win
0-2
3.8%
Away Win
3-2
2.9%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
4-0
2.0%
4-2
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
5-0
0.7%
4-3
0.4%
Draw Scores
1-1
11.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-3
1.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-4
0.5%
0-4
0.4%
3-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 2 Matches)
0-0 1x
1-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 2 matches)
Celaya
H2H Matches
20
Goals Scored
39
Goals Conceded
24
Avg Goals/Game
1.95
Avg Conceded/Game
1.20
Chapulineros
H2H Matches
19
Goals Scored
19
Goals Conceded
26
Avg Goals/Game
1.00
Avg Conceded/Game
1.37