Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Bekasi City
VS
Sriwijaya FC
3.06
Expected Goals (Home)
1.47
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
3-1
7.6%
Home Win
2-1
7.4%
Home Win
4-1
5.8%
Home Win
3-2
5.6%
Home Win
2-2
5.5%
Draw
3-0
5.2%
Home Win
2-0
5.1%
Home Win
1-1
4.9%
Draw
4-2
4.2%
Home Win
4-0
3.9%
Home Win
1-2
3.6%
Away Win
5-1
3.5%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
3-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
3-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
4-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
5-2
2.6%
5-0
2.4%
Draw Scores
2-2
5.5%
1-1
4.9%
3-3
2.7%
0-0
1.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
Away Win Scores
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
0-1
1.6%
0-2
1.2%
3-4
1.0%
2-4
1.0%
1-4
0.6%
0-3
0.6%
3-5
0.3%
2-5
0.3%
4-5
0.2%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 4 Matches)
5-3 1x
1-3 1x
2-1 1x
7-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 4 matches)