Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Araks Ararat

VS

Van II

1.74

Expected Goals (Home)

1.35

Expected Goals (Away)

How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.

Most Likely Scores

TOP PICK

1-1

10.7%

Draw

2-1

9.3%

Home Win

1-0

7.9%

Home Win

1-2

7.2%

Away Win

2-0

6.9%

Home Win

2-2

6.3%

Draw

0-1

6.2%

Away Win

3-1

5.4%

Home Win

0-0

4.6%

Draw

0-2

4.2%

Away Win

3-0

4.0%

Home Win

3-2

3.6%

Home Win

Home Win Scores

2-1

9.3%

1-0

7.9%

2-0

6.9%

3-1

5.4%

3-0

4.0%

3-2

3.6%

4-1

2.3%

4-0

1.7%

4-2

1.6%

5-1

0.8%

4-3

0.7%

5-0

0.6%

Draw Scores

1-1

10.7%

2-2

6.3%

0-0

4.6%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

0.0%

Away Win Scores

1-2

7.2%

0-1

6.2%

0-2

4.2%

1-3

3.3%

2-3

2.8%

0-3

1.9%

1-4

1.1%

2-4

1.0%

0-4

0.6%

3-4

0.6%

1-5

0.3%

2-5

0.3%

Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 2 Matches)

0-1 1x

0-0 1x

Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 2 matches)

Araks Ararat

H2H Matches 17

Goals Scored 18

Goals Conceded 25

Avg Goals/Game 1.06

Avg Conceded/Game 1.47

Van II

H2H Matches 17

Goals Scored 21

Goals Conceded 41

Avg Goals/Game 1.24

Avg Conceded/Game 2.41