Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Anges Verts
VS
Etoile de Kivu
1.11
Expected Goals (Home)
1.20
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
13.2%
Draw
0-1
12.0%
Away Win
1-0
11.1%
Home Win
0-0
10.0%
Draw
1-2
7.9%
Away Win
2-1
7.3%
Home Win
0-2
7.2%
Away Win
2-0
6.1%
Home Win
2-2
4.4%
Draw
1-3
3.2%
Away Win
0-3
2.9%
Away Win
3-1
2.7%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
4-0
0.6%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
5-0
0.1%
Draw Scores
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
12.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
0-4
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
0-5
0.2%
3-4
0.2%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 4 Matches)
0-0 1x
3-2 1x
2-1 1x
1-1 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 4 matches)