Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Alianza FC
VS
San Francisco FC
1.21
Expected Goals (Home)
1.09
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
1-1
13.2%
Draw
1-0
12.1%
Home Win
0-1
10.9%
Away Win
0-0
10.0%
Draw
2-1
8.0%
Home Win
2-0
7.4%
Home Win
1-2
7.2%
Away Win
0-2
5.9%
Away Win
2-2
4.4%
Draw
3-1
3.2%
Home Win
3-0
3.0%
Home Win
1-3
2.6%
Away Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
3-2
1.8%
4-1
1.0%
4-0
0.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
5-0
0.2%
4-3
0.2%
Draw Scores
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.2%
2-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
0-4
0.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
0-5
0.1%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 27 Matches)
1-1 4x
0-0 4x
0-1 3x
1-0 3x
2-1 3x
2-2 3x
1-2 3x
0-2 1x
3-1 1x
3-3 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 27 matches)
Alianza FC
H2H Matches
27
Goals Scored
31
Goals Conceded
28
Avg Goals/Game
1.15
Avg Conceded/Game
1.04
San Francisco FC
H2H Matches
27
Goals Scored
28
Goals Conceded
31
Avg Goals/Game
1.04
Avg Conceded/Game
1.15