Correct Score Predictions
Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data
Alga
VS
Talant
0.50
Expected Goals (Home)
0.80
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
27.3%
Draw
0-1
21.8%
Away Win
1-0
13.6%
Home Win
1-1
10.9%
Draw
0-2
8.7%
Away Win
1-2
4.4%
Away Win
2-0
3.4%
Home Win
2-1
2.7%
Home Win
0-3
2.3%
Away Win
1-3
1.2%
Away Win
2-2
1.1%
Draw
3-0
0.6%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
13.6%
2-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.0%
5-0
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
27.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
21.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
4.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
0-4
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
0-5
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
1-5
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
Team Statistics (Based on Season 2025/2026)
Alga
Matches Played
0
Goals Scored
0
Goals Conceded
0
Avg Goals/Game
0.00
Avg Conceded/Game
0.00
Talant
Matches Played
10
Goals Scored
16
Goals Conceded
10
Avg Goals/Game
1.60
Avg Conceded/Game
1.00