Correct Score Predictions

Statistical analysis using Poisson distribution & team performance data

Adama Kenema

Adama Kenema

VS
Sidama Bunna

Sidama Bunna

0.79
Expected Goals (Home)
0.95
Expected Goals (Away)
How it works: We use Poisson distribution based on team statistics (goals scored/conceded per game) to calculate the probability of each possible score. Higher percentages indicate more likely outcomes.
Most Likely Scores
TOP PICK
0-0
17.7%
Draw
0-1
16.7%
Away Win
1-0
13.9%
Home Win
1-1
13.2%
Draw
0-2
7.9%
Away Win
1-2
6.2%
Away Win
2-0
5.5%
Home Win
2-1
5.2%
Home Win
0-3
2.5%
Away Win
2-2
2.5%
Draw
1-3
2.0%
Away Win
3-0
1.4%
Home Win
Home Win Scores
1-0
13.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
Draw Scores
0-0
17.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Away Win Scores
0-1
16.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.0%
2-3
0.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
0-5
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
Most Common Scores in H2H (Last 20 Matches)
0-0 6x
1-1 5x
1-0 3x
2-0 1x
3-1 1x
2-1 1x
0-3 1x
3-2 1x
3-0 1x
Team Statistics (Based on All-Time H2H: 20 matches)
Adama Kenema
H2H Matches 20
Goals Scored 17
Goals Conceded 16
Avg Goals/Game 0.85
Avg Conceded/Game 0.80
Sidama Bunna
H2H Matches 20
Goals Scored 16
Goals Conceded 17
Avg Goals/Game 0.80
Avg Conceded/Game 0.85
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